New Bets for #UFCVegas84 (Patreon)

What is the 1st Bet? Manel Kape via SUB What are the Odds? +1400What is the Risk? .3U--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---RATIONALE:Why Kape via SUB? +14001. Kape is 5-2 career to the submission.2. Kape has club & sub potential (5 KD's)3. Nicolau has never been forced to defend a submission in the UFC, but he has been finished in the first round twice.4. Kape registered two serious submission attempts against David Dvorak in 2022.5. Kape has been working on his grappling in Las Vegas at XC with elite FLY/BTW talent.--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---What is the 2nd Bet? Kape/Nicolau Ends SUBWhat are the Odds? +650 What is the Risk? .32U--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---RATIONALE:Why the Fight Ends via SUB +650?1. Combined Record of 10-2 to the SUB2. Nicolau has attempted 6 SUBs in the UFC, most recently again Kape in 2021.3. Kape has attempted 2 SUBs in the UFC including as recently as 2022 vs Dvorak.4. Kape's only losses ITD were via SUB.5. Nicolau can be cracked on the chin & his submission skills compromised.6. Men's Flyweight has the highest Ends by SUB rate of any UFC division.7. Comparative Ends by SUB:Men's FLY SUB rate = 23.8%All UFC Divisions SUB rate = 18.1%Data Per Nate Latshaw 3 Rds. Since '18