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RATIONALE:Why Tom Nolan to win via SUB +950?1. Nolan has a massive size advantage ~6" height & reach advantage.2. Nolan has a submission win as an amateur and his tape shows solid grappling instincts and a willingness to threaten with SUBs.3. Motta is a zero on the mat with no professional wins via SUB (0-1 to the SUB).4. Motta was also submitted on the Ultimate Fighter against Glaico Franca and he deserved to be submitted in his last fight against Trey Ogden but he was bailed out by the ref.5. Nolan has CLUB/SUB potential with 4 pro wins by KO and 2 amateur wins via KO.6. Sharp sportsbooks are holding this prop ~+650 and lower whereas we are getting the +950 soft opener on FanDuel.

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