Current #UFC297 Slate (Patreon)

Hey guys, still building out the slate for this weekend, but this is where I am at right now:Why Du Plessis ML +108?

See Du Plessis write-up (easy to find in UFC 297 collection / tag).

Why Robertson KO +900?1. Gillian Robertson's KO prop has closed at a market average odds well over +1000 for her last four fights, but now the sharpest books in the market have her KO prop at +600.

2. Robertson is essentially even money (+100 = 50%) to win Inside the Distance but the KO is +900 (10%).

3. Robertson has said in interviews that she wants a KO/TKO win here.

4. Robertson's only career win by KO/TKO at UFC 240 in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada.

5. Viana is often willing to go to her back and pull guard. Robertson can punish that with positional dominance, GNP elbows, and pressure passing. 

6. Narrative: She will want to live up to her "Savage" nickname.

7. Only 1% of tapology voters expect Robertson by KO but her KO prop is slowly trickling down.

Why Mayra Bueno Silva KO +900?

1. Mayra Bueno Silva has heavy hands, dangerous low kicks, vicious clinch work.

2. Last time Rocky Pennington fought for the title she lost via TKO5 (vs. Nunes)

3. Silva was diddy-bopping Holly Holm on the feet & forced her to clinch up (lead to SUB)

4. Pennington can be taken down, controlled, and hit with GNP.

5. Bueno Silva is the younger fighter with less health concerns; injuries, wear-and-tear, hypothyroidism, and other red flags for Pennington.

6. Bueno Silva success vs. Holm projects well compared to Pennington 0-2 vs. Holm.