UFC 298 Current Slate (Patreon)
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A) Why Ilia Topuria ML? -- See Write-Up in the UFC 298 Collection / Tag--B) Why Dern/Lemos U2.5 Rounds @-124?--1) Lemos 13/17 (76.5%) fights end inside the distance. 2) Dern 8/17 (47.1%) fights end inside the distance.3) BOL opened the under 2.5 @ -185 (65%).4) Lemos 2 finish losses in the UFC, both in Rd. 1/25) Dern has suffered 5 KDs in the UFC (Lemos has landed 5 KDs) 6) SUB Path for Both (Dern Skill | Lemos Strength & Club/SUB)7) KO Path for Both (Dern Sneaky Power | Lemos Huge Hitter)8) Both women coming off brutal fights; could impact durability.--C) Why Rinya Nakamura via SUB +330 (Rivers)?--1) Vera has 2/3 (66.7%) of losses via SUB. 2) Nakamura attempted 3 SUBs vs. Fernie (0 career SUB losses)3) Fernie is a stingy grappler, more proven defense than Vera.4) Vera was brought in as a short notice replacement (could gas).5) Nakamura attempting 2.8 SUBs / 15 Minutes.6) Sharp books much lower price:I.E. - BetOnline Opened +250 down to +240.I.E. - DK Opened +400 down to +300 right away.