FREE SAMPLE - Cheat Sheet: DWCS Week 4 (Patreon)

This event already took place earlier this week, but I wanted to post this to give you an example of the type of work you can expect from Liam on these going forward. Even with fighters who are basically unknowns, he digs up a variety of useful information. These Cheat Sheets will be posted for every UFC and DWCS event, covering all fights on the cards. I challenge you to find more in-depth pre-fight information anywhere else.

Click the image above or here to view the full sheet.

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Here’s an excerpt from it with a winning bet on a huge underdog prop:

Thomas Peterson by submission at +1,100. Petersen is being priced as a massive favorite in this spot, opening -350, inflating to -800 and sitting again at -365 or so. He is -315 (75.9%) to win ITD and he is being given less than a 10% chance to win via SUB. This is despite Petersen having multiple submission attempts in his regional footage (looking for keylocks/Americanas from top position) and a proclivity for taking fights to the mat. Cole is a dangerous, loopy striker but he attempts a ton of takedowns and all of his losses feature him ending up on his knees in turtle position or in the front head lock absorbing ground and pound until the fight is over. I think this number is simply too wide given the quality of opponent and the other dynamic pricing around this fight. For context, offshore markets opened this number at half the odds (+550 or 15.4% implied).

Spoiler alert: Peterson ended up winning by submission via keylock from the exact position Liam outlined pre-fight.