Quick Picks: UFC Vegas 85 (Patreon)

Imavov vs Dolidze

There’s a stark difference in dynamism here, as Dolidze is a spontaneous finisher while Imavov is a measured point fighter. Should Imavov be content to jab and circle his way to a lackluster decision, his win rate is likely solid. However, I fear at some point he either gets overzealous or simply slips up and Dolidze snatches a stoppage victory. Still, I favor Imavov, but only ever so slightly.

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Moicano vs Dober

While Dober is a good brawler with a historically strong chin, his durability has been fading and now concerns me. Moicano has chin issues himself but is the more well rounded fighter. If this is a standing brawl, flip a coin. But if Moicano is wise he will leverage his grappling advantage.

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Silva vs Araujo

These two are on opposite trajectories currently. Silva is improving each time while Araujo has noticibly regressed. Araujo’s path here is to try to make it a scrap and edge out a decision. Instead, I favor Silva to leverage her superior offense to pick up a win, possibly even by stoppage.

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Khizriev vs Muradov

This has an early vs late dynamic, with Muradov’s chances increasing the longer the bout goes. Muradov needs to keep it standing and attempt to take this into deep waters. However, I favor Khizriev to get takedowns early and ride them to a win by decision or TKO.

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Urbina vs Radke

Despite a great nickname for Radke, “Chuck Buffalo” hasn’t impressed me so far. His striking has limited technique and defense, while is grappling is vulnerable. Urbina should be better overall here and will be the pick but he needs to be carful, as he has shaky defense himself and doesn’t fight through adversity well.