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Official Bets: UFC Vegas 86 (Patreon)

Published:
2024-02-06 13:23:04
Edited:
2024-02-10 21:54:10
Imported:
2026-10

Content

This page will be updated throughout the week as bets are added.

Info and write-ups for the bets can be found in Cheat Sheets for this event.

Past official bets can be found here.

Third-party tracked bet record for Liam is here.

Third-party tracked bet record for Balboa is here.

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Liam’s Bets:

*Final slate

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Balboa’s Bets:

*Final slate

Files

Comments

Matt Lonergan

Why in the hell would you add a capper who has a flat to negative ROI?

Fury’s Fight Picks

Look at his results the last few years once he changed his strategy and started betting full time. He’s done better than Liam and I in recent years. His ROI is only 1% because he started out at a loss years ago. Many handicappers have struggled in the early years.

GPrime19

This is a mess.. theyre opposite a ton..

Fury’s Fight Picks

That’s always going to happen when there are multiple handicappers. It’s unavoidable when you have multiple people making selections from then same slate of fights. Sometimes they will be on the same sides too. Personally, if I’m tailing handicappers and they are on opposite sides for the same amount, I just don’t bet that play from either handicapper. If one handicapper bets their side for say 1u more than the other, in that case I would go with that bigger side but only for the 1u difference. That’s the proper way so you still get their same results long term.

GPrime19

Just trying to help not sound rude, but we bet pyfer days ago and topuria weeks ago, and Liam’s been crushing so I ride with him anyhow.. but like 5 min to the card starting seeing a million picks that contradict everything was a little frustrating for the end user!

Fury’s Fight Picks

I totally get it, no worries! I’ve run into the same issue tailing cappers from other sports. It’s worth noting that sometimes the cappers will be on a side because of the line moves. For example, one capper might like a play at -115 but the other likes the opposite side at when it was priced at +150.

Fury’s Fight Picks

Also, I should point out that Balboa was mainly added for his bets on non-UFC events, which Liam and I never cover. Balboa also wins on UFC, but my point is you could tail Liam for UFC cards and Balboa only for non-UFC if that makes it easier for you. Just a thought.

Juan Direction

Are you not posting bets any longer yourself

Nate

Yikes...switched over to the betting tier this week and got slaughtered. 0-7 (6 Liam, 1 Balboa) :(

Fury’s Fight Picks

Rare L on the UFC card, just the 5th losing week over the last 5 months. Weekly total: -4.68 Balboa: +2.24 Liam: -6.92