[Historical SI] The Stanford Blueprint: 1991 | Chapter 26 (Locked) (Patreon)
Content
[Six months ahead, in September]
In the black-and-white photograph on the corner of the oak desk, Dilip Biswas stood beside a painted wrought-iron gate in a clean white cotton kurta, his hands resting flat on the top rail as he squinted into the sunlight. Behind him rose a two-story brick house with green wooden shutters and a deep front veranda. Up on the flat concrete roof terrace, Namita stood near the parapet wall, pinning washed laundry to a line against a clear sky.
Arup picked up his ceramic cup and took a sip of espresso, looking at the neat fountain-pen lettering along the white bottom border: Lake Town, Block B – 14 June 1992.
Six months had passed since Arup sat in his kitchen and gave the wire instructions to Richard Hayes at Wells Fargo. Once the six lakh rupees settled into the local Shyambazar branch, Dilip had gone to work with the same steady persistence he brought to his job.
The freehold deed had been registered in Arup’s name in the third week of May. His parents had hired a small open truck, loaded their wooden bedstead and kitchen brassware, and left the rented rooms in Belgachia ten days before the summer rains arrived.
All through July and August, whenever Arup called the public telephone booth near the Lake Town clock tower on Saturday evenings, he had listened closely to his mother’s voice. For the first time in his life, she did not mention plastic buckets or damp plaster falling from the ceiling.
Arup set his cup down beside a yellow legal pad and uncapped his pen. It was the second Tuesday of September, six days before the autumn quarter began for his second year at Stanford.
Next to his car keys lay his open leather wallet, showing a laminated card with the red seal of the Department of Justice tucked above his California driver’s license.
In mid-August, the federal immigration center in Laguna Niguel had approved his petition for permanent residency under the extraordinary ability category. The lawyers at Berry Appleman & Leiden in San Francisco had stacked his file with institutional backing: David Cheriton’s three-page letter detailing his systems work, Katharine Ku’s signed agreement showing Stanford University owned eight percent of Aegis Network Systems, and a letter from Lockheed’s Sunnyvale division confirming that Arup’s machines were running inside their defense simulation labs. His final interview at the San Francisco district office was still a few months down the road, but with the approved petition and a federal work permit in his pocket, his legal standing in the country was settled.
Sabeer and Manish had received their own paperwork before the summer started. Back in April, the San Francisco attorneys had filed H-1B work petitions for both of them under Aegis’s sponsorship. With the annual federal quota nowhere near full, the approvals had come back in sixty days. Sabeer had collected his Master’s degree in June and moved his desk permanently to the Sunnyvale shop the next morning.
Manish had taken his approval notice straight to the biology building and handed a two-week resignation letter to his professor. Because the work visa allowed salaried employees to take university classes on the side, Manish now drew a forty-eight-thousand-dollar salary from Aegis to write code in Sunnyvale during the day while finishing his last two Master’s project credits in the evenings, with the company paying his tuition directly to Stanford.
In May, he had passed the Computer Science department’s qualifying exams on his first try, clearing the way for his doctoral candidacy. His campus hours in Margaret Jacks Hall were now spent working with Cheriton on distributed network caching—building the mathematical rules to keep separated server computers in sync across long-distance phone lines.
Off campus, the six months since their March lunch at Il Fornaio had turned Aegis into a fixture of the local tech industry.
Walking out of the restaurant after turning down Gordon Ross’s three-million-dollar investment offer had worked just the way Don Keller said it would. Venture capitalists on Sand Hill Road were used to young engineers begging for cash. When word got around that a profitable Sunnyvale company backed by David Cheriton and the Stanford endowment had politely turned down Kleiner Perkins over lunch, every major fund on the Peninsula wanted in. Thomas still got phone calls on the first Monday of every month from partners at Sequoia and Sutter Hill asking if Aegis was ready to take outside money.
They hadn't needed a dime from Sand Hill Road. Over the summer, a single change in federal law had handed them a brand-new market.
Arup tore the sheet off his pad, tucked it into his jacket pocket, and picked up his briefcase.
When Arup pulled the gray Mercedes into the Duane Avenue lot at nine-thirty, the bay doors at the back of the warehouse were rolled wide open.
A white station wagon sat backed up against the concrete ramp. Jim Douglas, a forty-two-year-old former Digital Equipment technician whom Thomas had hired in May, was sliding two foam-lined shipping boxes into the back. Beside him stood Sarah Lin with a clipboard braced against her arm, checking serial numbers off an invoice. Thomas had hired Sarah away from National Semiconductor’s purchasing department in June to run their parts supply and factory schedules.
"Morning, Arup," Sarah said as he walked up the ramp. "Fremont just dropped off fifty more boards. They look clean, but Arrow called ten minutes ago about the fast memory chips. Wait times just stretched out to six weeks."
"Don't wait for them to get tighter," Arup said, stopping by the bay door. "Have Linda write a purchase order for a ninety-day supply from Arrow and Avnet before lunch. We have the cash sitting in the bank, and I don't want twenty-thousand-dollar orders sitting on the floor waiting on a twelve-dollar part."
"I'll get it done," Sarah said, jotting a note on her clipboard.
Jim Douglas slammed the tailgate of the station wagon shut and wiped his palms on his jeans. "I'm heading up to Redwood Shores to swap out a bad fan on a test box, then meeting the phone crew at Silicon Graphics in Mountain View. Artie's got the south bay pager until five."
Arup nodded and walked through the side door into the cooled hallway.
Jim Douglas and Artie Reyes were the backbone of Aegis’s field support. When a corporate client was paying eighteen to twenty-four thousand dollars a month for a leased machine, they expected someone on site immediately if a power supply or cooling fan failed. Jim and Artie drove station wagons with two pre-tested spare units locked in the back, guaranteeing any company between San Francisco and San Jose that a technician would walk into their server room with a replacement box within ninety minutes of a page.
That reliability had paid off in June when Congress passed the Scientific and Advanced-Technology Act.
Written by Representative Rick Boucher, the new law lifted the federal government's long-standing ban on commercial business traffic across the national internet backbone. For years, only universities, government labs, and defense contractors had been allowed to hook into the main network. The week the law changed, the regional network office based out of Pine Hall at Stanford—BARRNet—began selling high-speed commercial internet lines directly to Silicon Valley companies.
Every engineering vice president at Sun, Apple, Intel, Cadence, and Synopsys rushed to lease an external T1 line so their engineers could send email and move files across the public network.
Within two days of plugging their company wires into the outside world, the exact problem Arup had predicted to Sabeer and Manish back in November hit them head-on. Companies had built their internal networks assuming everyone on the wire worked in the same building. Their Unix servers had no locks on the doors. The moment those networks touched the public internet, college students and foreign competitors began dialing in over the wire to poke around their unreleased chip designs.
Inside the conference room, Thomas Vance and Don Keller were sitting across from two of Aegis’s newest engineers: Frank Kowalski and Kenji Sato. A large diagram of Synopsys’s Mountain View network lay spread across the table.
"Look at Wednesday night's log," Frank Kowalski said, tapping a finger on a tractor-feed printout. Arup had hired Frank away from Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory in July to design security rules for their clients. "Synopsys turned on their outside internet line Monday morning. By Tuesday afternoon, somebody at a university in Holland ran a script across their whole building looking for open file folders. Their director nearly had a heart attack when he saw an outside address trying to copy their chip library."
"They never had to lock the back door before," Arup said, hanging his coat over a chair and sitting down next to Thomas.
"Best thing that ever happened to our sales numbers," Don Keller said, opening his leather binder. "Six months ago, I had to spend an hour convincing a manager he needed our box to speed up his daily file transfers. Now, whenever a company orders an internet line from the phone company, their own lawyers won't let them turn the switch on until one of our Gatekeeper boxes is bolted to the wall."
Thomas pushed the August accounting sheet across the laminate to Arup.
"Linda finished adding up the August invoices yesterday," Thomas said, referring to Linda Myers, the contracts administrator they had hired in the spring to handle billing and lease paperwork. "Fourteen of our original clients—including Cadence and Synopsys—signed the six-thousand-dollar monthly security upgrade over the last six weeks just to have Frank lock down their networks. Add in the twenty-two new leases Don closed this summer, and our monthly billing just passed two hundred and eighteen thousand dollars."
Arup looked down at the bottom line. Two hundred and eighteen thousand dollars coming in every month like clockwork. Even after paying Pacific Surface Mount for the Fremont circuit boards, covering the salaries for the new engineers and field techs, and paying rent, Aegis was clearing over a hundred and ten thousand dollars a month in pure profit.
Arup looked across the table at Kenji Sato. Twenty-six years old, with wire-rimmed glasses and rolled-up shirtsleeves, Kenji had been brought over from the UC Berkeley computer science department by Steven McCanne at the start of the summer.
"How is the file-transfer code holding up on the new lines, Kenji?" Arup asked.
"Working clean since we fixed the timeout rule last week," Kenji said, pulling a yellow notepad closer. "The headache with outside file transfers was that whenever an engineer at Cadence requested a file from a university server, that outside computer tried to open a brand-new connection back into the building on a random port number. Standard routers either have to block file transfers completely or leave the whole building wide open."
Arup nodded. That was the exact reason he had hired Kenji to work alongside McCanne. Together, they had written a smart inspection program that watched every outgoing request. When an engineer inside the building asked an outside server for a file, Aegis’s box read the exact port number inside the message, unlocked that single door for that single outside computer, and locked it again the instant the file finished downloading.
"What's the load looking like on the main processor when a client runs internal file smoothing and outside security at the same time?" Arup asked.
"Getting tight," Kenji said, glancing at Frank. "At Cadence and Silicon Graphics, when their afternoon chip runs overlap with heavy outside internet traffic, the main board is hitting seventy-five percent capacity. We aren't dropping data yet, but there isn't much room left. When companies start upgrading to fiber lines next year, a standard Sun computer board won't be able to keep up."
"Which is why Sabeer and Rich have been living in the back room since May," Arup said, standing up. "Keep an eye on the afternoon logs at Cadence. Let's go see how close we are on the chip."
Arup walked down the back hall and opened the door to the hardware room.
The room was kept cold for the four large Sun workstations lined up along the wall. Sabeer Bhatia and Rich Seifert stood behind a man in his late thirties wearing a short-sleeved plaid shirt—Stuart Sutherland, an independent chip-design specialist they were paying a hundred and twenty-five dollars an hour to help convert their software rules into hardware circuitry.
On the large color monitor, dozens of green timing lines ran across a black grid.
"How did the overnight test run?" Arup asked, stepping up behind Sabeer.
Sabeer rubbed his eyes, which were red from a week of late nights, and tapped the screen with a pencil. "Clean. Stuart ran the new lookup layout through the compiler last night. Simplifying the table the way you wanted saved us four nanoseconds on every packet check. We're running at forty megahertz with plenty of breathing room."
Designing a brand-new computer chip from bare silicon took two years and millions of dollars—money and time Aegis had no reason to waste. Instead, Seifert had steered them to LSI Logic down in Milpitas to use what the industry called a gate array. LSI Logic manufactured thousands of identical silicon wafers packed with fifty thousand unconnected microscopic switches and kept them stacked in their vault. All Aegis had to do was design the top two layers of metal wiring that connected those switches together into Arup’s security and routing engine. Because the base wafer was already made, LSI Logic could etch the top metal layers and deliver working chips in five weeks for a fraction of the cost.
Stuart Sutherland turned his chair around. "You're using about thirty-eight thousand switches out of the fifty thousand on the chip. Everything fits without crowding."
Rich Seifert picked up a blue binder stamped with LSI Logic’s name. "I spent yesterday afternoon at their design center on McCarthy Boulevard running their stress tests to make sure the heat and wire lengths won't cause errors. We passed at ninety-eight percent."
Once this chip was soldered onto their circuit boards in Fremont, incoming network traffic wouldn't need the main computer processor to check security rules at all. The custom chip would read the address on every packet, check the security list in memory, and pass or block the data in less than two millionths of a second.
"What's the final bill from LSI to start the fabrication?" Arup asked.
"Seventy-five thousand dollars upfront," Seifert said, opening the quote folder. "That covers their setup costs, the metal masks, and fifty test chips delivered to us in five weeks. Once we test those fifty in our racks and give them the green light, we pay twenty-eight dollars a chip in batches of two thousand."
"Have Thomas write the seventy-five-thousand-dollar check from the parent account this afternoon," Arup said. "Sabeer, you and Rich drive the design tape over to Milpitas tomorrow morning. I want those fifty test chips on our benches before the end of October."
At four o'clock that afternoon, Arup parked on Ramona Street in downtown Palo Alto and walked around the corner to 260 University Avenue.
He stepped through the doorway beside the stone front of the Wells Fargo commercial bank and walked up the stairs to the second floor. A small brass plate on the door of Suite 204 read: Horizon Capital Management.
Inside, the quiet clack of an adding machine filled the front room.
Behind a steel desk sat Marianne Walsh, a thirty-eight-year-old Certified Public Accountant whom John Burbank had hired away from Arthur Andersen’s San Jose office in June right after passing his investment advisor exam. Wearing half-frame reading glasses, Marianne was matching a stack of pink brokerage slips against a bound ledger.
"Afternoon, Arup," Marianne said, looking up. "I just finished the third-quarter estimated tax forms for ARB Holdings. Even after writing off the Fremont circuit board runs and that seventy-five-thousand-dollar chip invoice Thomas faxed over, your profits from the spring stock options are substantial. You need to sign the check before Friday."
"Leave it on the corner of the desk, Marianne," Arup said, pulling out his pen to sign the voucher. "I'll look over the summary before I head home."
He signed the slip and walked through the inner door into the back trading room.
The room was warm from two bulky green-screen monitors humming side by side on a long table: a Reuters currency terminal and a Telerate bond screen. At the left desk sat Ted Zimmerman, a twenty-one-year-old Stanford senior from the math department whom Burbank had hired in July to watch the early morning feeds. Ted wore a single-ear telephone headset connected to the trading desk in San Francisco.
At the right desk, John Burbank stood in his shirtsleeves with his tie pulled loose, watching the green lines scroll down the Reuters glass. Six months after graduating from the business school, Burbank had shed the harried look of a student. Running his own licensed firm with over a million dollars under management suited him.
"Look who finally graced us with his presence," Burbank said, turning around as the door clicked shut. "Marianne catch you with the tax bill?"
"Signed it on the way in," Arup said, pulling up a chair beside Burbank’s desk. "Let's see how you’re holding up."
Burbank handed him a black leather binder.
Arup opened the top page. Back in April, Microsoft had put Windows 3.1 on store shelves across the country. Corporate buyers had ordered the software by the tens of thousands, sending the stock climbing through the spring. Burbank had sold their fifty-thousand-dollar option position into the summer rally, locking in a hundred and seventy-five thousand dollars in clear profit.
Right below the Microsoft entry, however, sat a trade Arup had never mentioned: Tokyo Nikkei 225 Put Options (August) – Net Profit: $124,300.00.
Arup looked up from the page. "You bet against Tokyo in July?"
"Japanese banks have been choking on bad real estate loans all year," Burbank said, leaning against the edge of his desk. "I was reading their central bank reports in June while tracking the European bond numbers. Everybody in New York kept saying the government in Tokyo would never let their stock index fall below twenty thousand—the exact same way they say London won't let the Pound fall. When Tokyo cracked sixteen thousand in July, I took forty grand from our spare cash and bought August puts. The whole market fell down to fourteen-three before their finance ministry stepped in two weeks ago. We sold near the bottom."
Arup looked at the six-figure profit line for several seconds.
It was a humbling reminder of his own blind spots. Because he carried memories of 2026 in his head, Arup had fallen into the habit of treating the world economy like a short list of famous dates—waiting around for John Daly, Windows 3.1, and the British Pound crash while completely ignoring the massive Japanese real estate collapse happening right across the ocean. Burbank didn't have future memories; he had caught the Tokyo drop simply because he spent twelve hours a day reading bank reports and looking for opportunities. Hiring Burbank hadn't just given ARB Holdings a legal front man; it had given Arup a partner who could spot money on his own.
"That was a hell of a catch, John," Arup said honestly, tapping the page. "I wasn't paying any attention to Tokyo this summer. You saw that coming before anyone on Wall Street."
Burbank gave a satisfied nod. "Easy to see when you aren't listening to market analysts confidently spewing bullshit. Did you look at the second tab on the startup checks?"
Arup flipped to the next page, where the hundred-thousand-dollar seed fund was broken down.
"Two nos, one maybe for next year, and one yes," Burbank said. "First, those four guys in Mesquite, Texas—id Software. I got their business manager and a programmer named John Romero on the phone in April right before their new game came out. Offered them thirty grand for a piece of the company. Romero laughed right in my ear. Said they were already getting fifty thousand dollars a month in checks through the mail from a distributor in Texas and had zero interest in dealing with investors from California."
Arup smiled slightly. "If four guys in an apartment are pulling in fifty grand a month, they don't need us. Leave them be. What happened with Mark Horowitz's chip company in Mountain View?"
"Rambus was a dead end," Burbank said, frowning. "I got in the door through a classmate, and their memory designs are every bit as good as you said. Problem is, Kleiner Perkins already owns a big chunk of their stock, and their contract gives them the right to block any new investor. The second Gordon Ross saw ARB Holdings on the list, he killed it. He's still sore about you and Cheriton turning him down at Il Fornaio in March."
"Let Ross hold his grudge," Arup said. "What about the boys in Irvine?"
"Done and signed," Burbank said, pulling a stock certificate copy from his drawer. "I flew down to Orange County in May and met Mike Morhaime and Allen Adham at Silicon & Synapse. They were working out of a tiny office, living off a ten-thousand-dollar loan from Morhaime's grandmother and doing game conversions just to pay the light bill. When I put thirty-five thousand dollars on the desk for fifteen percent of the company with no strings attached, they signed on the spot. They're using the money to finish a game called The Lost Vikings and start working on their own computer titles."
"Put that certificate in the safe and forget about it for five years," Arup said. "And you saw the note on the San Jose lunch?"
Back in late July, after a morning meeting at LSI Logic to set up the chip contract, Arup and Sabeer had gone to lunch with LSI’s engineering director, Jensen Huang, at the Denny’s on Berryessa Road. Huang had invited along two friends who designed graphics hardware over at Sun Microsystems—Curtis Priem and Chris Malachowsky. Over coffee and diner burgers, the five of them had spent two hours talking about how personal computers were going to need dedicated 3D graphics chips within two years.
Priem and Malachowsky were tired of Sun’s slow management, and Huang was watching the home computer market grow every month. When Arup told them he had two hundred thousand dollars sitting in cash whenever they were ready to leave their jobs and start their own chip company, Huang had listened closely. He wasn't ready to jump yet—he had two young children at home, a mortgage, and unvested stock at LSI—but before they left the parking lot, Huang had written Arup’s home phone number into his pocket book.
Arup closed the binder and looked at the green numbers on the Reuters monitor.
Between the first Cisco sale, the Microsoft trade, Burbank’s Tokyo short, and their remaining Cisco options, ARB Holdings’ account stood at one million, four hundred and twenty thousand dollars. One point two million of that was sitting in cash and ninety-day Treasury bills inside their trading margin account.
"When did the German central bank statement come across the wire?" Arup asked, nodding toward the screen.
Burbank’s expression tightened. He stepped over to the Reuters machine and tore off a strip of printout paper.
"Three hours ago, right after the German markets closed," Burbank said, handing him the slip. "The head of the Bundesbank gave an interview to a German financial paper. He said flat-out that the British Pound is still priced too high and needs to come down."
Over at the left desk, Ted Zimmerman adjusted his headset, watching the quotes ticking in from Asia. "John, the banks in Tokyo and Singapore aren't even waiting for London to open. They're dumping Pounds right now. The price is down to 2.7810 German Marks. The legal floor under the European treaty is 2.7780. Rumor on the wire is George Soros's fund in New York is selling billions."
Arup checked his watch. It was four-thirty in the afternoon in California—half past midnight in London. At eleven o'clock tonight Palo Alto time, the London currency market would open for Wednesday, September 16.
"Send Marianne home at five," Arup said, taking off his jacket and hanging it over his chair. "We’re staying here tonight."
By eleven-fifteen that night, University Avenue outside the second-floor window was dark and empty.
Inside Suite 204, the overhead lights were off, leaving the room lit by two desk lamps and the glow of the monitors. An empty pizza box sat by the door next to a fresh pot of black coffee.
Burbank had put ARB Holdings’ entire one-point-two-million-dollar collateral pool to work.
In 1992, big currency trades were placed over open telephone lines. Using their institutional margin agreement, Burbank had two open phone lines running at once—one to the overnight currency desk in New York, and the other straight to the floor brokers at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange.
They held two kinds of bets against the British currency: September and October put options that would multiply in value if the Pound fell below $1.85 and $1.80, and direct short futures contracts totaling twelve million dollars in borrowed exposure.
"London is seven minutes in," Ted called out from his screen, tapping the keys to refresh the prices. "The Pound is sitting right at 2.7785 Marks. That's half a cent above the treaty floor. By law, the Bank of England has to buy every Pound on the market to keep it from dropping below 2.7780."
"Here they come," Burbank said, watching the trade counter jump.
In London, it was seven-fifteen on Wednesday morning. Inside the Bank of England, government traders had begun spending two billion dollars an hour out of Britain’s national savings to buy up the Pounds that banks and hedge funds were selling.
For three hours, the numbers on the screen barely moved. Every time the selling pushed the Pound down to 2.7780, huge buy orders from the Bank of England hit the market, pushing it back up a few ticks.
At 2:31 AM California time—10:31 AM in London—the speaker inside the Reuters machine let out three sharp beeps.
A headline scrolled across the top of the green glass:
FLASH: UK CHANCELLOR LAMONT RAISES BASE INTEREST RATE FROM 10% TO 12% EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY.
"Twelve percent," Ted said, his hand stopping on the keyboard. "They raised rates two whole points."
On the Telerate screen, the British Pound jumped upward as nervous traders rushed to buy back their short bets. Against the US Dollar, the price climbed nearly two cents in ninety seconds, moving from $1.8620 to $1.8810.
The red light on Line Two of Burbank’s phone began flashing.
Burbank hit the button and picked up the receiver. "Burbank."
Through the earpiece, Arup could hear the sharp voice of the night margin clerk in San Francisco. Because ARB Holdings had borrowed ten-to-one to short the currency futures, the sudden two-cent jump against them had temporarily put their account down over two hundred and twenty thousand dollars on paper, eating into their safety deposit.
Burbank covered the mouthpiece with his hand and looked at Arup. "The margin desk says if the Pound climbs another half-cent on this rate hike, we either have to close a third of our position right now, or wire two hundred thousand dollars from Wells Fargo at eight-thirty to cover the gap."
Ted turned in his chair, looking tense. "Arup, twelve percent is a huge return. What if big pension funds start buying Pounds just to collect twelve percent interest?"
Arup stepped over to the desk, looking at the British economic numbers on the lower half of the screen.
"Nobody buys a currency for twelve percent a year if the currency is going to lose fifteen percent of its value before dinner," Arup said calmly. "Think about how British mortgages work. Almost every homeowner in England has a floating mortgage tied straight to the central bank rate. Their housing market is already in a terrible slump. If the government leaves interest rates at twelve percent for a month, millions of families lose their houses and the Prime Minister gets thrown out of office."
Arup pointed a finger at the German currency line on the glass.
"Look at the price in German Marks," Arup said. "Britain just announced their biggest rate hike in ten years, and the Pound barely moved ten ticks. The banks in Germany know it's a bluff. Tell the clerk at Schwab that Richard Hayes at Wells Fargo downstairs will wire two hundred and fifty thousand dollars at eight-thirty sharp. We don't close a single contract. In fact, use this jump to buy forty more of the October put options while they're cheap."
Burbank looked at him for a second, then let out a short laugh and took his hand off the phone.
"You heard him, Steve," Burbank told the clerk. "We're wiring two hundred and fifty grand from Wells Fargo the minute the doors open. Now put me through to the options pit—I'm buying forty more October one-eighty puts."
Twenty minutes later, the brief rally died completely.
Just as Arup had said, the traders in London and Frankfurt looked at the twelve-percent interest rate and knew the British government was bluffing. By four o'clock in the morning California time, the selling in London was twice as heavy as before. The Bank of England was burning through the last of its foreign cash reserves, trying to hold the 2.7780 line as every major bank in Europe dumped Sterling.
At 6:15 AM, as pale gray light began to show over the Palo Alto hills outside the window, the Reuters machine beeped again.
URGENT: BANK OF ENGLAND ANNOUNCES INTEREST RATES WILL RISE TO 15% TOMORROW MORNING.
Ted stared at the screen. "Fifteen percent? Two hikes in four hours?"
"Watch the price," Arup said quietly from behind Burbank’s chair.
On the monitor, the British Pound didn't go up a single tick.
A fifteen-percent interest rate in the middle of a recession was economic suicide, and every trader in the world knew the British government would never go through with it. Within three minutes of the announcement, banks across Europe stopped buying Pounds altogether.
At 6:22 AM, the 2.7780 treaty floor broke.
The numbers on the screen began dropping straight down as buyers disappeared: 2.7750... 2.7680... 2.7590. Against the US Dollar, the Pound fell through $1.85, then $1.83, then $1.81.
"The floor is gone!" Ted called out, his voice rising over the hum of the computers. "The Bank of England just stopped buying! Our October puts are deep in the money!"
Burbank was on his feet with the phone wedged against his shoulder, writing ticket numbers on his pad. "Hold the contracts until the official announcement! They can't leave the currency falling like this—the government has to pull out of the treaty before tonight!"
For the next five hours, as morning traffic filled University Avenue below and Marianne Walsh came in at eight-thirty to handle the Wells Fargo wire and make fresh coffee, the British currency fell apart on the screens. Every twenty minutes, another bulletin came out of London: Prime Minister John Major was locked in an emergency meeting with his cabinet; the Bank of England had lost twenty-seven billion dollars before noon.
At 11:32 AM California time—7:32 PM in London—the Reuters terminal chimed five times in a row.
FLASH: CHANCELLOR LAMONT ANNOUNCES BRITAIN IS LEAVING THE EUROPEAN EXCHANGE RATE MECHANISM IMMEDIATELY. 15% RATE HIKE CANCELLED.
The British government had given up.
On the Telerate screen, the Pound went into freefall, dropping toward $1.72 against the dollar and crashing below 2.60 Marks in the biggest single-day currency drop since the war.
"Cash it in," Arup said, tapping Burbank’s shoulder. "Every bank in London is scrambling to cover their losses right now. Sell our options into the panic and buy back the futures contracts in blocks of twenty."
For the next hour and a half, the back room was pure chaos.
Burbank worked the Chicago line while Ted handled the New York desk, calling out prices and writing down confirmation numbers as they sold their options and closed out their bets to desperate European banks trying to stop their own bleeding.
At one o'clock in the afternoon, the last confirmation slip printed out on the machine in the corner.
Ted pulled off his headset, laid it on the desk, and leaned back in his chair with his hands behind his head. Burbank set the phone receiver down on its hook and pressed the summary key on the terminal.
The green screen refreshed, adding up the cash from the closed futures contracts, the option sales, and their Treasury bills.
TOTAL ACCOUNT VALUE: $7,842,190.00NET PROFIT (24 HR): +$6,421,370.00
The room went quiet except for the small fan spinning inside the monitor. Down the street toward the university quad, the noon bells from Memorial Church had faded away an hour ago.
Burbank stood with both hands resting on the edge of the desk, looking at the seven-million-dollar figure glowing on the glass. His twenty-percent share of the night’s profit had just made him a millionaire at twenty-eight years old, and ARB Holdings had cleared over five million dollars in cash after his fee.
"Six point four million," Burbank said, his voice rough from shouting into the phone all morning. "In one night."
Arup looked at the green numbers on the screen.
Thirteen months ago, he had stood at the credit union window on campus with two thousand, three hundred and seven dollars in his pocket, figuring out how many months he could survive on bulk rice and lentils. Since then, he had built the company, moved his parents into a dry brick house in Lake Town, locked in his residency, and turned Aegis into the gatekeeper for Silicon Valley’s new internet lines.
Now, with nearly eight million dollars sitting in the corporate account, the next stage was paid for. When the first custom chips arrived from the Milpitas factory next month, he wouldn't need to ask Gordon Ross or anyone else on Sand Hill Road for a dime.
Fin
P.S.- Finally, the fruits of his planning are coming to fruition one by one.