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There are a few points worth considering here. Many people are becoming quite bearish, believing the bull market has ended. However, historically, bull markets typically last around two years, followed by a challenging year of a bear market (late 2025-2026 I reckon). The quarterly returns above demonstrate Bitcoin's performance during bull markets, such as in 2016-2017 and 2020-2021, where most quarters showed positive, and sometimes significantly positive, returns.

But this one is super interesting. Less than 1 month left of Liquid Inventory... ETFs are taking up supply.

The decline in the Liquid Inventory Ratio suggests that more Bitcoin is being moved out of exchanges and into self-custody, reducing the amount available for sale. This trend is driven by increased demand from new market participants, such as exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which lock Bitcoin into wallets with no history of selling

 

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RAM

Quote from Jim Rogers, who’s Quantum fund over 10 years in the 70s earned 4,200% vs the S&P 500’s 47% return, “It’s not at all unusual to have something go down 50% in a bull market,”

DigitalRengade

We broke that ATH early, and it's been frothy at the top. Looking at that grid, the pre-bull was very bullish. Feeling cautious, might be a pullback still.

Greg Jones

Looks a lot like 2016/2017 where the red months were barely negative and the green months were very green. Lots of other signs poi ting to a bull run like 2017! Fingers crossed for blastoff!

believer

Thank you IA👍🏼

GNV GUY

Where do you get James ATR at?

RoughTrader

Feels good just to hold and be patient.....what can possibly go wrong !😉

Christopher

Interestingly, each bull cycle produced 6 green and 2 red quarters. We will have 2 red quarters if current quarter remains red thru September. 6 green remaining?

Hoover Dam

I just keep buying like I’m crazy 🤪

Theresa

Do you have a source I could cite for the quarterly returns? I’m filing a pro se motion in Celsius bankruptcy to try and compel them to give our retirement account BTC rather than fiat