Home Creators Posts Import Register Favorites Logout
haven't archived this post yet. have a subscription? use the importer!

Content

Live at 10:15am Pacific: https://youtube.com/live/H_WMfoBRNls

Files

Previews only

🔥 Friday Fire: Secret Stealthy Stackers & the 2 Must-Haves Today!

👋 JOIN THE FAMILY: http://www.patreon.com/investanswers 📈 IA MODELS: http://www.investanswers.io 🧠 FREE INVESTOR PROFILER QUIZ: https://investor-profiler.investanswers.io 📬 IA NEWSLETTER: https://investanswers.substack.com 🪙 IA CRYPTO COMPENDIUM: http://investanswers.io/crypto-compendium ⚙️ IA SCP Profiler: http://investanswers.io/scp-profiler 🌐 TradingView Referral: https://www.tradingview.com/?aff_id=27663 DISCLAIMER: InvestAnswers does not provide financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. None of the content on the InvestAnswers channels is financial, investment, tax, or legal advice and should not be taken as such; the content is intended only for educational and entertainment purposes. InvestAnswers (James) shares some of his trades as learning examples but they are only relevant to his specific portfolio allocation, risk tolerance & financial expertise, may not constitute a comprehensive or complete discussion of such topics, and should not be emulated. The content of this video is solely the opinion(s) of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading equities or cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. Kindly use your judgment and do your own research at all times. You are solely responsible for your own financial, investing, and trading decisions.

Comments

Paul O

And James, if you’re listening, we need to come up with an alternative measuring system for bitcoin sort of like in an alternate universe. The old traditional bitcoin cycle is dead and run it side-by-side with your top and bottom indicator. I'm in the camp that the traditional Bitcoin 4-year cycle is evolving. When the Bitcoin ETFs launched, it changed the market structure. The only part of the old narrative that still holds true is the supply-side effect of the halving. However, the price action—which used to be dominated by retail investor behavior and speculative blow-off tops—is now increasingly controlled by institutional, sovereign, and even government-level buyers. Retail money simply can't match the scale and durability of institutional flows. What's even more significant is that these institutions tend to have sticky hands (low selling pressure) and are already starting to recommend Bitcoin as part of diversified portfolios. This growing institutional adoption should gradually reduce volatility over time and shift Bitcoin into a more mature, less cyclical, and more upward-trending asset. As a result, we may need to abandon the old "4-year boom-bust cycle" mindset. Instead, a new tracking framework could look something like: 2025 will likely outperform 2024, 2026 will outperform 2025, 2027 will outperform 2026, driven primarily by adoption rates rather than just halving events. In short: we are moving from a cycle based on supply shocks and retail mania to one driven by steady adoption, portfolio allocation, and macro-level acceptance.

Doodle Dandy

Paul, your analysis sounds wise and on target. What would the devils advocate retort be? What is the weakest angle of your analysis?

Paul O

The weakest angle of my analysis is that I'm assuming institutional ownership creates lasting price stability and kills the old 4-year cycle patterns. institutions could still act like traders, retail mania can override institutional steadiness, ETF inflows might recreate supply shocks on a new timeline, and political risks could introduce volatility that brings back blow-off behavior. So while the structure is evolving, some old dynamics might still echo back stronger than expected.