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Recession Odds Tank (Patreon)

Published:
2025-07-05 17:10:27
Imported:
2026-06
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Content

Good news: the odds of a Recession fell from 66% to 22% over the past eight weeks.

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Comments

Gone With TSLA

While we know the truth written all over the world , yet it's a good hopium pill from government saying "this year will be better than last, we have better *chances* of *not having* recession and the recession is *pushed back* ...." 😂

DoomPrepper

We had similar odds during the Real-estate Bubble crash. I’d flip that chart upside down for better accuracy.

Maine McEachern

How do they calculate “recession odds”?

KoKoPelli

Jim Cramer is such a legend

ItsAustinBlack

Check out Bravos Research on people worried about their jobs stat. 100% recession predictor, but way early.

HighDef

Choose Your Own Adventure: -Oxford Economics predicts ~35% odds -JPMorgan Research says ~40% odds -Economists’ Aggregate Survey is ~35% -Veteran Market Analysts have a 35–60% uncertainty band

Tom
>>179418391

This over Elon...too much spending won't lead to a recession

Adam Toth

Cathy Wood says we already had a recession, but it was sector by sector, not the full economy all at once.

6flagns

Now all we need os the btc pri e to stop being totally manipulated to constantly rugpull us

Paul-P

I tend to align with what Kathy Wood said which is we have been in a 24+ month rolling recession. This is a new flavor of recession that echos all the crazy stuff going on.