IA Weekly Nuggets (July 29-Aug 3, 2025) (Patreon)

Thanks, Josh, for collecting.

• Bitcoin

  • Bitcoin ETFs purchased 52,000 Bitcoin in July. Rem only 13,000 were mined in July. This is 4x supply just 9 ETFs

  • ADAM BACK Bitcoin OG (we are connected) said some Bitcoin whale is buying 600 BTC a day and they are now ramping up from that level (a few hours ago)

    

• AI

  • Hyperscalers spent nearly $90BN on CAPEX.... NVDA will get a huge bag of this and this does not even include what MUSK is buying across TSLA and xAI

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• Tesla:

  • Low 300s:

• IA is grateful to bag again in the low 300s. Finger on the trigger. The goal is to get to 50% allocation by year-end. Currently it is just 30%, but it takes a lot to move the needle. The current bag goes back to 2017. Even if TSLA jumps to $600 and all else remains the same, IA’s allocation is still only 44%. ⁠

  • Optimus 3:

  Elon states Optimus 3 is the right design to go to volume production and a significant redesign from V2. It has the agility roughly equal to an agile human, every part was designed from scratch by TSLA, and full production will start in early 2026. Aiming for a million units per year as quickly as possible (potentially under five years). ⁠

  • Two Best Assets for IA at this moment with most upside over next 6 to 12 mths:

  The two best assets are TSLA and SOL. Most hated also. ⁠

  • New NVDA:

  Few understand Tesla’s deal with Samsung. TSLA could become the new NVDA. ⁠ They have rethunk the who GPU / Inference Chip world.

  • Cybertruck:

  The CT is the best car IA has ever owned. He compares it to his X6M, GL450, SL500, and M5. He has driven more miles in it in 9 mths that he normally does in 3 years. FSD takes him everywhere and it has opened up his aperture. He hates airports so now he drives 500 miles on a dime.

• Model Q:

IA reckons Tesla’s new model will be 30k. That is dirt cheap, considering a V6 Camry is 37k before taxes. ⁠unmoderated-politics⁠

• Money Market:

Remember, TSLA is IA’s money market - his safety net. There is limited downside at $300, and massive asymmetric upside. Every share IA buys could be worth $3000 in the next 3 to 5 years. That’s the game IA plays. With his option strategy, he is only putting up $25 per share to expose himself to $3000 of future value. ROI = 120x when going synthetic. ⁠

• Robotaxi:

Tesla no longer has a static $6.90 robotaxi fare, it’s now dynamic and over 50% cheaper than Uber in this scenario. Bay Area is now $1 per mile. At this rate, this will destroy the entire taxi and ride share industry.

• Trading and Investing:

  • UPXI:

• UPXI is now trading at a 30% discount. Weird. ⁠

  • Patience:

  People often lose their cool over money—whether they’re losing it, not earning it, or not earning enough. Investing demands patience and timing, like a hunter setting traps and waiting. Take the recent Fig IPO: it skyrocketed over 200% at launch. IA had multiple limit orders but none filled. Meanwhile, Tesla, the world’s top robot maker, is struggling in the market. IA believes Tesla will dominate robotics, but the key is patience—buying when the price dips low.

  • Humility:

  Stay humble. Making money in the markets is the hardest sport in the world. Remember to stay sharp, always stay frosty, always stay humble. The first 100k was the hardest, $1m came fast, and $10m came far faster. ⁠general-trading⁠ ⁠tesla⁠

• Solana:

  • Mert:

  Mert keeps hinting $1k SOL is incoming.⁠ If the price prediction of #SOL is $1000 according to mert what will be the price of #BTC & #ETH then ? Something to think about.