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141 - Trump's Arms Race & We Need Class War ft. Dustin Guastella (Patreon)

Published:
2020-05-27 03:04:57
Imported:
2026-06
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Content

Donald Trump is destroying international arms control & threatening the globe. 

Dustin Guastella joins us to talk about his recent piece in Jacobin on Bernie’s loss and to chart a course to build the labor movement needed to win power. 

During the GEM, David breaks down Argentina’s default and their fight against bondholders. 

Comments

J P 3

I remember seeing polling data and exits from Florida where Sanders performed most strongly with Cuban-American voters in Florida relative to other "Latino" voters in Florida. e.g. I suspect the issue here is that Cuban-Americans most invested in the anti-Castro line are Republicans (note also Florida was a closed primary). I'm skeptical this cost him enough votes to matter. The bigger issue is the migration of GOP voters into the Democratic Party post-2016. e.g. look at the vote in Michigan. Sanders had almost identical numbers to 2016. He lost by double digits because Biden's vote share increased by 200,000 relative to Clinton in 2016. It's a different election, only one party had a competitive primary. My sense is that a lot of Kasich/Rubio anti-Trumpers migrated to the Democratic party post-2016. These voters were never going to go for Bernie in the primary. I know some of these voters and Bernie's economic message -- and the way that he was presented in the media -- was the big issue. These are voters who are disgusted by Trump's personal behavior and rhetoric, but are still basically, George W. Bush-style Republicans. Chasing after these voters is as much of a dead-end as with Trump's diehard base. They don't have a material interest that aligns with the economic program. Some might have voted for Sanders in the general, but they wouldn't have done so endorsing the full program. e.g. it would have been akin to the Corbyn 2017 vote which included a protest vote against Brexit and the Tories. Corbyn was able to avoid getting pinned down on the issue of Brexit in 2017 and have it both ways, but not in 2019. Think it's just going to be a slog, building the bench, more power, media, and institutions. Think also that there were really two phases of the election. The first phase -- Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina -- lent itself more to direct voting contact. The second phase, beginning with Super Tuesday, is when the role of the national media became much more critical. The only way that Bernie might have been able to break through and counter the electability narrative was winning primaries. He did that up to a point, doing that in geographically and demographically diverse areas. Just not in South Carolina.

Hunter Loy

“Do I have time to smoke a cigarette” Cracked me up. Great content. Keep it coming Michael ❤️