UFC 300 Early Money Line Bet (Patreon)

Why Charles Oliveira +190 ML via FanDuel?1) Netto BJJ put Tsarukyan in huge danger standing. Charles is a bigger, better version of Netto BJJ. Nasrat Haqparast & Ricky Glenn finished Netto BJJ with much less resistance than Tsarukyan faced.2) Tsarukyan is a great fighter, but you can poke holes in his win streak.-> Dariush had a 6-month turnaround off a KO loss from Charles.-> Netto BJJ had him badly compromised on the feet as a +600 underdog.-> Ismagulov had no danger factor. 5-2 in UFC with no finish wins.-> Lost a close, competitive 5-Rounder with Gamrot, slowed down big time.-> Alvarez has piss poor TDD, I bet Tsarukyan for 5+ U at chalk & ITD +175.-> Giagos is a fraudulent fighter with poor cardio.-> Tsarukyan missed weight vs. Frevola, think Frevola was on short notice.-> Davi Ramos was just 4-3 in the UFC, very average fighter.3) Tsarukyan lost via KO1 in December of 2015. Chin has shown flashes.4) Oliveira is the most proven striker & the most lethal grappler Tsarukyan has faced.5) Line opened -120 on DraftKings & +170 on BetOnline, betting public is pushing the line towards Tsarukyan. I am prepared to add to this position if the line improves beyond +200 threshold.6) Oliveira is the most dangerous finisher in the history of the division. He has out struck strikers (Gaethje, Poirier, Gordon, Chandler) out grappled grapplers (Dariush, Miller, Guida, Giagos, Lee, & Poirier) out wrestled wrestlers (Ferguson, Chandler, Lamas & Brooks). He is a well rounded, dangerous fighter.7) Charles is 7-4 as a UFC underdog for a 55.6% ROI. Results since 2015:-> +130 vs. Benny, won via KO1 - [2023]-> +185 vs. Islam, lost via SUB2 - [2022]-> +120 vs. Poirier, won via SUB3 - [2021]-> +150 vs. Ferguson, won via UDEC - [2020]-> +130 vs. Kevin Lee, won via SUB2 - [2020]-> +110 vs. Paul Felder, lost via TKO2 - [2017]-> +200 vs. Will Brooks, won via SUB1 - [2017]-> +185 vs. Anthony Pettis, lost via SUB3 - [2016]-> +155 vs. Myles Jury, won via SUB1 - [2015]-> +210 vs. Max Holloway, lost via TKO1 (Injury) - [2015]8) Social Media A-Side by Far: 7.3 Million IG Followers vs. Tsarukyan (790K)9) When Props Open, FDGTD also a strong consideration. Charles Oliveira is a kill or be killed figther and I would make him a -110 Pick Em in this fight.Official Prediction: Charles Oliveira defeats Tsarukyan via KO / Club & SUB